Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 3Braga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
| 17.02% | 24.38% | 58.6% |
| Both teams to score 42.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% | 56.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% | 77.88% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% | 46.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.55% | 82.45% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% | 19.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 17.02%
Braga 58.59%
Draw 24.37%
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 4.26% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 14.91% 0-2 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-4 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.59% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Braga
Moreirense
8.2%Draw
4.1%Braga
87.8%49
Head to Head
May 14, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 33
Braga
2-1
Moreirense
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
0-4
Braga
Aug 11, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-1
Moreirense
Apr 6, 2019 8.30pm
Form Guide
