Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
29.53% | 27.85% | 42.61% |
Both teams to score 46.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% | 58.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% | 79.38% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% | 35.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% | 72.47% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% | 62.79% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |