Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
29.59% | 27.39% | 43.02% |
Both teams to score 48.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.79% | 57.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.94% | 78.06% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% | 34.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% | 71.48% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% | 26.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% | 61.48% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |