Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.65%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
70.8% | 19.19% | 10% |
Both teams to score 39.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% | 51.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% | 73.09% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% | 13.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.94% | 40.06% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.29% | 54.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.3% | 87.7% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 14.8% 1-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.01% 4-0 @ 5.04% 4-1 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.38% 1-2 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.64% Total : 10% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |