Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
51.14% | 26.57% | 22.29% |
Both teams to score 44.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.21% | 58.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% | 79.3% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% | 23.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% | 57% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.98% | 42.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.55% | 78.45% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.13% Total : 22.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |