Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.