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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Santa Clara

Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara

Aguiar Tomich (9'), Macedo (13' pen.)
Ulisses (24'), Thomas (49'), Dias (74'), Franca (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (43'), Rocha (43'), Safira (50'), Klismahn (54'), Adriano (64'), Silva (74'), Lima (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Santa Clara

Nacional and Santa Clara come into this one off the back of crashing out of the Taca da Liga and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result. Matos's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given their solid form in the league, we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
30.42% (0.652 0.65) 26.18% (0.222 0.22) 43.4% (-0.87 -0.87)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.617 -0.62)52.23% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.535 -0.54)73.94% (0.538 0.54)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.15199999999999 0.15)31.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.173 0.17)67.95% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)23.91% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.998 -1)58.12% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 30.42%
    Santa Clara 43.4%
    Draw 26.18%
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.247 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional
13.2%
Draw
10.5%
Santa Clara
76.3%
38
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2024 6pm
Round of 16
Santa Clara
1-1
Nacional
(Aggregate 1-1 | Santa Clara win 4-2 on penalties)
Klismahn (111')
Lima (25'), Serginho (30'), Manuel Velazquez (77')
Dudu (120+3' pen.)
Marakis (98'), Esteves (106')
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
5-1
Nacional
Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-3
Santa Clara

Julio (80')
Fernando (4'), Rashid (67'), Pineda (76')
Patrick (28'), Fernando (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
14AVS132561021-1111
15Nacional12237717-109
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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