Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
We said: Nacional 0-2 Santa Clara
Nacional and Santa Clara come into this one off the back of crashing out of the Taca da Liga and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result. Matos's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given their solid form in the league, we fancy them to come away with all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4% . A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%) . The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood .
Result Nacional Draw Santa Clara 30.42% ( 0.65) 26.18% ( 0.22) 43.4% ( -0.87)
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.36)
47.77% ( -0.62) 52.23% ( 0.62)
26.06% ( -0.54) 73.94% ( 0.54)
68.45% ( 0.15) 31.55% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.05% ( 0.17) 67.95% ( -0.17)
76.09% ( -0.69) 23.91% ( 0.69)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.88% ( -1) 58.12% ( 1)
Nacional 30.42%
Santa Clara 43.4%
Draw 26.18%
Nacional Draw Santa Clara 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.42% 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.4%
How you voted: Nacional vs Santa Clara
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rhs 2.0
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