Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Uniao de Leiria2 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Uniao de Leiria and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torreense 0-0 Uniao de Leiria
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uniao de Leiria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uniao de Leiria | Draw | Nacional |
45.53% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( -0.03) | 28.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
