Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
FT (HT: 1-1)
Pereira Martins (14')
Genezio (10'),
Vieira (11'),
Tavares (24'),
Ndour (73'), Omorwa (77'), Pereira Martins (80'),
Kikas (90+5')
We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela scraped a narrow home win against Estoril Praia last time out and are in for another tough 90 minutes against an experienced Portimonense side. Sergio's men have won each of the last two meetings between the sides and we are backing them to see off the Tricolores, who are without a win in their last four away matches across all competitions.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 50.07% . A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%) . The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood .
Result Portimonense Draw Estrela Amadora 50.07% ( -0.41) 24.81% ( 0.12) 25.11% ( 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.1)
50.14% ( -0.27) 49.85% ( 0.27)
28.15% ( -0.24) 71.85% ( 0.24)
80.07% ( -0.27) 19.92% ( 0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.93% ( -0.44) 52.06% ( 0.44)
65.58% ( 0.09) 34.41% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.87% ( 0.1) 71.12% ( -0.1)
Portimonense 50.07%
Estrela Amadora 25.11%
Draw 24.8%
Portimonense Draw Estrela Amadora 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.07% 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.11%
How you voted: Portimonense vs Estrela Amadora
Portimonense
Draw
Estrela Amadora
44
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 17:29:39
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