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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Arouca

Portimonense
0 - 2
Arouca


Gonzalez (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-2 Arouca

Buoyed by their dominant display against Chaves, Arouca go all out for an all-important win as they look to snatch a spot in Europe on the last day. The Arouquenses have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arouca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result
PortimonenseDrawArouca
35.4% (-0.309 -0.31) 26.71% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 37.89% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.254 -0.25)53.2% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.218 -0.22)74.77% (0.21799999999999 0.22)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.312 -0.31)28.74% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.39 -0.39)64.58% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)27.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 35.4%
    Arouca 37.89%
    Draw 26.7%
PortimonenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Arouca

Portimonense
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
gameweek 17
Arouca
4-0
Portimonense
Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')

Luquinhas (13'), Seck (27'), Pedrao (34'), Ouattara (49')
Seck (65')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Arouca
1-0
Portimonense
Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Benfica75111751216
3Porto6501123915
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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