Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Celje (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Despite the excitement at Estrela's promotion, the new side are expected to suffer a defeat at the hands of Vitoria in the opening gameweek, with the Conquerors picking up their first road victory of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
31.16% ( -0.41) | 26.54% ( -0.09) | 42.3% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
