MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:26:06| >> :600:707136:707136:
Portimonense
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Estrela Amadora

Portimonense
3 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Amorim (6' pen.), Carrillo (62'), Carlinhos (82' pen.)
Carlinhos (33'), Seck (73'), Silvestre da Costa (74'), Mauricio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavares (58')
Mansur (1'), Lopes (5'), Carlos Silva Reis (81')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Portimonense and Estrela Amadora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Celtic
Saturday, July 15 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 2-1 Estrela Amadora (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, June 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawEstrela Amadora
39.88% (-2.009 -2.01) 24.44% (0.51 0.51) 35.68% (1.507 1.51)
Both teams to score 59.65% (-1.53 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-2.133 -2.13)43.16% (2.141 2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-2.142 -2.14)65.56% (2.148 2.15)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (-1.84 -1.84)21.68% (1.849 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (-2.899 -2.9)54.83% (2.908 2.91)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.155 -0.16)23.84% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.227 -0.23)58.02% (0.234 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 39.88%
    Estrela Amadora 35.68%
    Draw 24.44%
PortimonenseDrawEstrela Amadora
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.304 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.473 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.238 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.646 0.65)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.2 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 35.68%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!