We said: Portimonense 0-1 Boavista
After an alarming result to start the season, and not many new faces through the door, Portimonense could struggle again.
Boavista will be on cloud nine after last week's sensational result, and Bozenik's killer touch up front could be decisive, despite recent poor away form.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.