Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.85% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.63% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.49% ( 0.05) | 55.51% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.31% ( 0.05) | 76.69% ( -0.05) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( 0.05) | 26.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.74% ( 0.07) | 61.26% ( -0.07) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% ( 0) | 32.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 0) | 69.33% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
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