Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.