Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | SC Farense |
46.2% | 26.27% | 27.52% |
Both teams to score 50.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% | 54.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% | 75.44% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% | 23.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% | 57.29% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% | 34.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.61% | 71.39% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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