Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
74.78% | 16.71% | 8.51% |
Both teams to score 41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% | 45.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% | 67.7% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.51% | 10.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.86% | 34.14% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.81% | 54.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.61% | 87.39% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 14.45% 1-0 @ 12.81% 3-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 6.66% 4-0 @ 6.12% 4-1 @ 3.75% 5-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.15% 6-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.59% Total : 74.77% | 1-1 @ 7.85% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.71% | 0-1 @ 3.48% 1-2 @ 2.41% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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