We said: SC Farense 2-1 Vizela
Home form is set to be vital in the fight against relegation, and Farense have already shown they are capable of picking up big wins here.
Vizela escaped with a draw in their last away outing, but their form on the road over the past few months has been woeful, and they may fall to another defeat here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.