Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
52.44% ( 0.05) | 24.31% ( -0.01) | 23.25% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0) | 49.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0) | 71.47% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.02) | 18.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( 0.03) | 50.25% ( -0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.17% ( -0.04) | 35.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% ( -0.04) | 72.6% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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