Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
21.69% (![]() | 23.22% | 55.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% (![]() | 46.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.18% (![]() | 68.82% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.32% (![]() | 35.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.55% (![]() | 72.45% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% | 16.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.3% | 46.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 10.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.93% 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 22 | 43 | 65 |
3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |