Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 0Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Guimaraes have contended with managerial uncertainty to win their opening two league games, and with a new head coach now in place, we think that they will maintain their 100% start to the season by claiming a narrow win over Vizela. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
46.82% ( 0.07) | 26.6% ( -0.04) | 26.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.48% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
