Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.51%) and 1-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
80.86% | 13.3% | 5.85% |
Both teams to score 38.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.05% | 39.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.28% | 7.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.5% | 27.5% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.14% | 57.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.48% | 89.52% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.38% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.3% | 0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 1.69% Total : 5.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |