Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 22, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Braga

Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Braga

Braga, who have struggled for consistency this season, go up against a rampant Sporting Lisbon side who have won all but one of their last eight games in all competitions. Amorim's men are currently on a five-game winning streak against the visitors and we anticipate they will extend their dominance and claim all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
52.55%	24.44%	23%

Both teams to score 51.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76%

50.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81%

72.19%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92%

19.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31%

50.68%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5%

36.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71%

73.29%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 52.55%

Braga 23%

Draw 24.44%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.55%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 1% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 23%