MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 23:14:27| >> :60:809:809:
Penafiel
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
 
Sporting Lisbon

Penafiel
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Tavares (31'), Vaz (58'), Teixeira (80'), Rodrigo (86'), Pedro (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tomas (16')
Tabata (20'), Neto (35'), (74')
Tabata (74')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Penafiel and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Penafiel win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
PenafielDrawSporting Lisbon
18.07%21.99%59.94%
Both teams to score 51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8%46.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5%68.5%
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71%39.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24%75.99%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85%15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.54%43.46%
Score Analysis
    Penafiel 18.07%
    Sporting Lisbon 59.94%
    Draw 21.98%
PenafielDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.07%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 11.18%
0-2 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.93%
2-4 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.94%

How you voted: Penafiel vs Sporting Lisbon

Penafiel
22.7%
Draw
4.5%
Sporting Lisbon
72.7%
22
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