Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Gil Vicente have enjoyed a fine campaign so far and will be looking to pick up their third consecutive win for the first time this season and strengthen their position in the top half of the standings. However, they face the stern test of taking on a rampant Sporting Lisbon side, who have won each of the last four meetings between the sides. We are backing Sporting Lisbon to extend their dominance in this fixture and claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 23.17% | 24.47% | 52.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
