Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Moreirense |
41.89% | 28.12% | 29.99% |
Both teams to score 46.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.33% | 59.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.02% | 79.98% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% | 28.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% | 63.77% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% | 35.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.46% | 72.54% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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