Guimaraes

1 - 3

Arouca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.