Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Portimonense1 - 1Guimaraes
We said: Portimonense 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
With Portimonense and Vitoria de Guimaraes separated by one point just inside the top half of the table, we can expect a cagey contest on Monday. Both sides head into the game evenly matched on paper and we predict they will settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 38.05% | 29.19% | 32.76% |
| Both teams to score 44.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
