Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Vizela3 - 2Guimaraes
We said: Vizela 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Despite the difference in league positions, these two teams head into this contest in similar form. With that in mind, and with Vizela possessing home advantage, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which will benefit the hosts rather than the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 27.15% | 26.71% | 46.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
