Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 80.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.04%) and 1-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.