Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb3 - 0Qarabag
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Sibenik
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 10 | 3.33 | Kulenovic |
| 2 | Rijeka | 8 | 2.67 | Ivanovic |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 1.67 | Livaja |
| 4 | Osijek | 4 | 1.33 | Jugovic |
| 5 | Sibenik | 4 | 1.33 | Agyemang |
| 6 | Gorica | 3 | 1.00 | Kapulica |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva | 3 | 1.00 | Cop |
| 8 | Slaven Koprivnica | 3 | 1.00 | Butic |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 0.67 | Maresic |
| 10 | Varazdin | 1 | 0.33 | Mitrovski |
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Qarabag FK
This is a really fascinating contest, and we are expecting it to be tight in terms of the overall aggregate score. Dinamo Zagreb will be bidding to claim a first-leg advantage, but we just have a feeling that a talented Qarabag outfit will be able to secure a draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Qarabag FK |
51.75% ( -0.01) | 23.44% ( -0) | 24.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.01) | 44.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( 0.01) | 66.64% ( -0.01) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0) | 17.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0) | 47.36% ( 0) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( 0.01) | 31.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.01) | 68.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Dinamo Zagreb 51.75%
Qarabag FK 24.81%
Draw 23.44%
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.81% |
How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Qarabag
Dinamo Zagreb
51.2%Draw
30.9%Qarabag FK
17.9%207
Form Guide
