MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:44:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.10pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
0 - 2
Rijeka


Les (26'), Jelicic (27'), Soldo (30'), Matej Juric (45+3'), Lazarov (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obregon (66' pen., 75' pen.)
Veiga (42'), Obregon (76')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 4 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
GoricaDrawHNK Rijeka
17.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 22.45% (0.058 0.06) 60.4% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.178 -0.18)49.56% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.16 -0.16)71.58% (0.16 0.16)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)42.37% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)78.76% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)15.99% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7% (-0.166 -0.17)45.29% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 17.15%
    HNK Rijeka 60.38%
    Draw 22.44%
GoricaDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.15%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 60.38%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
Gorica
2-3
Rijeka
Mitrovic (3'), Smolcic (25' og.)
Mitrovic (7'), Raspopovic (17'), Matej Juric (45+1'), Blummel (90+5')
Mrzljak (90+5')
Pjaca (35' pen., 53'), Galesic (89')
Sopic (8'), Hodza (30'), Goda (90+5')
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rijeka
1-0
Gorica
Pasalic (7')
Pasalic (59'), Selahi (90+3')

Mrzljak (59'), Munksgaard (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka178902471733
2Hajduk Split1796226131333
3Dinamo Zagreb1775532221026
4NK VarazdinVarazdin176831410426
5Osijek177462621525
6Slaven Koprivnica175572124-320
7NK Istra 1961Istra 1961174671627-1118
8NK Lokomotiva174491927-816
9Sibenik174491431-1716
10GoricaGorica1743101525-1015


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