Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica
Gorica1 - 2NK Lokomotiva
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Lokomotiva.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gorica 2-3 Rijeka
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Wednesday, January 24 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 NK Lokomotiva
Tuesday, January 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Tuesday, January 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
31.56% ( -0.11) | 26.32% ( 0.08) | 42.11% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.36) | 52.4% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -0.31) | 74.08% ( 0.3) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.26) | 30.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.88% ( -0.31) | 67.12% ( 0.3) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.14) | 24.63% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.86% ( -0.2) | 59.14% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Gorica 31.56%
NK Lokomotiva 42.11%
Draw 26.32%
| Gorica | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.11% |
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Gorica
Tuci (51')
Maric (74'), Zivkovic (90')
Maric (74'), Zivkovic (90')
Matavz (77')
Stiglec (85')
Stiglec (85')
Jul 29, 2023 5.45pm
Form Guide
