Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gorica in this match.