Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Rijeka2 - 1Gorica
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and Gorica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Rijeka
Sunday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Gorica
Monday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Monday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.7%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
66% ( -0.16) | 22.11% ( 0.07) | 11.89% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 37.38% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.06) | 57.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( -0.05) | 78.36% ( 0.05) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.08) | 16.88% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.14) | 46.9% ( 0.14) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.12) | 55.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.1% ( 0.07) | 87.9% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
HNK Rijeka 66%
Gorica 11.89%
Draw 22.11%
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 16.52% 2-0 @ 14.7% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 66% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 11.89% |
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 2pm
Nov 30, 2024 4.30pm
Feb 11, 2024 4.10pm
Form Guide
