Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Osijek had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Osijek win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Osijek
60.88% ( 0.2)	22.12% ( 0.05)	16.99% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

-0.62)

48.48% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

-0.57)

70.61% (

0.57)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

-0.14)

15.46% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68% (

-0.27)

44.32% (

0.26)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

-0.69)

41.93% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0.6)

78.38% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 60.87%

Osijek 17%

Draw 22.11%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Osijek
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.87%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 17%