Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.10pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt
Osijek3 - 1Istra 1961
Jugovic (47', 86', 90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Filet (90+7')
Devetak (37'), Petrusenko (74'), Douglas (90+1')
Devetak (37'), Petrusenko (74'), Douglas (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Istra 1961.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Osijek
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Rijeka
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
60.82% ( 0.06) | 21.96% ( -0) | 17.22% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
