Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Istra 19611 - 1Rijeka
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NK Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
18.58% ( -0.53) | 23.83% ( -0.25) | 57.58% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 46.93% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% ( 0.25) | 52.92% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( 0.21) | 74.52% ( -0.21) |
NK Istra 1961 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.36% ( -0.46) | 42.63% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.02% ( -0.4) | 78.98% ( 0.39) |
HNK Rijeka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% ( 0.38) | 18.18% ( -0.38) |