Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Central Park
Cowdenbeath4 - 2Kilmarnock II
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Cowdenbeath and Kilmarnock II.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 0-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 1-1 Dumbarton (8-9 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cowdenbeath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cowdenbeath | Draw | Kilmarnock II |
55.91% ( -0.01) | 20.03% ( 0) | 24.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 68.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
