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Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Bonnyrigg Rose

Kilmarnock II
3 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose

Wales (18'), Warnock (21'), Brown (52')
T (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Faye (46')
Mailer (69')
Osadolor (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock II

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Montrose 4-2 Kilmarnock II
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock IIDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
29.81% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 46.7% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.78% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)40.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.041999999999994 0.04)63.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Kilmarnock II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.22% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)17.69% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock II 29.81%
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 46.7%
    Draw 23.48%
Kilmarnock IIDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.7%

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