MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:23:08| >> :60:1130:1130:
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Prestonfield

Hearts U21s
2 - 3
Buckie Thistle

Smith (35'), McGill (70')
McGill (39'), Denholm (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murray (50'), Ramsay (73'), Pugh (75')
Herbert (35'), Pugh (35'), Murray (53'), McCabe (60'), Milne (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Hearts Under-21s and Buckie Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts Under-21s

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Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Hearts U21s
Tuesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Buckie Thistle

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Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckie Thistle win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buckie Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Hearts Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buckie Thistle would win this match.

Result
Hearts Under-21sDrawBuckie Thistle
13.05% (0.0080000000000009 0.01) 14.98% (-0.055 -0.05) 71.97% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
Both teams to score 65.98% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.4% (0.31999999999999 0.32)22.6% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.28% (0.435 0.44)41.71% (-0.44 -0.44)
Hearts Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.25700000000001 0.26)30.11% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.308 0.31)66.24% (-0.312 -0.31)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.4% (0.078000000000003 0.08)5.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.28% (0.232 0.23)21.71% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hearts Under-21s 13.05%
    Buckie Thistle 71.97%
    Draw 14.98%
Hearts Under-21sDrawBuckie Thistle
2-1 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 13.05%
1-1 @ 5.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.98%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 8.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 5.83% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 4.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.85% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-4 @ 3.5% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 3.36% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-5 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
1-6 @ 1.62% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-6 @ 0.97% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 71.97%

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