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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Alloa Athletic

Buckie Thistle
1 - 4
Alloa

Urquhart (16' pen.)
McCabe (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sammon (23', 81', 86'), Rodden (27')
Church (16'), Taggart (70')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Buckie Thistle and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buckie Thistle

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dunfermline 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Alloa Athletic

Last Six:
    Last Game: Alloa 1-1 East Fife (5-5 pen.)
    Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Buckie Thistle win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

    Result
    Buckie ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
    26.06% (0.399 0.4) 24.99% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 48.94% (-0.302 -0.3)
    Both teams to score 52.86% (0.651 0.65)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.17% (0.681 0.68)49.83% (-0.678 -0.68)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.17% (0.608 0.61)71.83% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)
    Buckie Thistle Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    66.39% (0.697 0.7)33.6% (-0.693 -0.69)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29.74% (0.752 0.75)70.25% (-0.74799999999999 -0.75)
    Alloa Athletic Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    79.61% (0.14800000000001 0.15)20.38% (-0.145 -0.15)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    47.2% (0.233 0.23)52.8% (-0.228 -0.23)
    Score Analysis
        Buckie Thistle 26.06%
        Alloa Athletic 48.94%
        Draw 24.99%
    Buckie ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
    1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
    2-1 @ 6.48% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
    2-0 @ 4.07% (0.042 0.04)
    3-1 @ 2.35% (0.078 0.08)
    3-2 @ 1.87% (0.07 0.07)
    3-0 @ 1.48% (0.042 0.04)
    Other @ 2.34%
    Total : 26.06%
    		1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
    0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.191 -0.19)
    2-2 @ 5.15% (0.098 0.1)
    3-3 @ 0.99% (0.042 0.04)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 24.99%
    		0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.25 -0.25)
    1-2 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-2 @ 8.66% (-0.162 -0.16)
    1-3 @ 5.01% (0.024 0.02)
    0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
    2-3 @ 2.73% (0.064 0.06)
    1-4 @ 1.99% (0.018 0.02)
    0-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
    2-4 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
    Other @ 2.7%
    Total : 48.94%

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