MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 18:53:16| >> :60:250:250:
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Alloa Athletic

Buckie Thistle
1 - 4
Alloa

Urquhart (16' pen.)
McCabe (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sammon (23', 81', 86'), Rodden (27')
Church (16'), Taggart (70')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Buckie Thistle and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dunfermline 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Buckie Thistle win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
Buckie ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
26.06% (0.399 0.4) 24.99% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 48.94% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.86% (0.651 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.681 0.68)49.83% (-0.678 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.608 0.61)71.83% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.697 0.7)33.6% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.752 0.75)70.25% (-0.74799999999999 -0.75)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (0.14800000000001 0.15)20.38% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (0.233 0.23)52.8% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Buckie Thistle 26.06%
    Alloa Athletic 48.94%
    Draw 24.99%
Buckie ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 26.06%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.66% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.94%

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