Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.