MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:46:11| >> :60:1704:1704:
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Brechin City

St Johnstone U21s
2 - 1
Brechin

Essel (50'), Smith (90')
Essel (16'), Parker (80'), Smith (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robertson (28')
Robertson (34'), Moreland (35'), Patrick (36'), Scott (51'), Logan (73')
Martin (90+5')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between St Johnstone Under-21s and Brechin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 St Johnstone U21s
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: East Fife 4-0 Brechin
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brechin City win with a probability of 83.27%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 6.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brechin City win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a St Johnstone Under-21s win it was 2-1 (1.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St Johnstone Under-21sDrawBrechin City
6.19% (0.0571 0.06) 10.54% (0.086 0.09) 83.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.29% (-0.238 -0.24)22.71% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.13% (-0.324 -0.32)41.87% (0.327 0.33)
St Johnstone Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)43.26% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)79.51% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.08% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)3.92% (0.063 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.38% (-0.197 -0.2)16.63% (0.201 0.2)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone Under-21s 6.19%
    Brechin City 83.27%
    Draw 10.54%
St Johnstone Under-21sDrawBrechin City
2-1 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.42% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 6.19%
1-1 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 10.54%
0-3 @ 9.61% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 6.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.067 0.07)
0-5 @ 5.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 4.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-6 @ 2.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-6 @ 2.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-6 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 83.27%

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