Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton1 - 0Brechin
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Brechin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: East Fife 3-0 Morton
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brechin 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Brechin City win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
55.09% ( -2.01) | 23% ( 0.8) | 21.91% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -2.02) | 45.36% ( 2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( -1.96) | 67.7% ( 1.96) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -1.38) | 16.34% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.06% ( -2.56) | 45.94% ( 2.56) |
| Brechin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.02) | 34.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.46% ( 0.02) | 71.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton 55.08%
Brechin City 21.91%
Draw 23%
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Brechin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.91% |
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Oct 14, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
