Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 82.43%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Motherwell Under-21s had a probability of 6.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.7%), while for a Motherwell Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Stranraer in this match.