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Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 17
Dec 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Rotherham logo

Watford
2 - 0
Rotherham

Kabasele (4'), Deeney (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jones (67'), Ihiekwe (71')

Preview: Watford vs. Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rotherham United travel to Vicarage Road to face Watford on Tuesday as they look to end a fruitless run of form that has seen them lose four of their last five.

Rotherham were defeated by Coventry City last time out as they went down 3-1 to their fellow strugglers.

Watford suffered their first loss at home this season as they were edged out 1-0 by Cardiff City, after a Kieffer Moore strike settled matters.


Match preview

Watford manager Vladimir Ivic pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Vladimir Ivic will be hoping his side can return to winning ways on Tuesday having only won once in their last five games.

Watford have also failed to score in three of their last four league matches, and six times overall in this Championship campaign.

One man who could have a positive impact on that statistic is striker Andre Gray, who has been directly involved in three goals in four Championship appearances against Rotherham.

Ivic's men sit seven points adrift of the league leaders and will be keen to find form sooner rather than later for fear of losing ground on the promotion places.

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne pictured on September 12, 2020© Reuters

Paul Warne will have been disappointed with his side's performance on the weekend after they found themselves 2-0 after 12 minutes against Coventry City, with only a late consolation to show for their efforts.

Rotherham have won just one of their last eight league games, and just one of their 10 away league games against Watford, which does not bode well for Tuesday night's contest.

That win came in 2002, as they secured a 2-1 victory, with a certain Paul Warne substituted on for the Millers when they were trailing 1-0.

Rotherham hover precariously above the relegation zone with only two points separating them from the bottom three, as well as lying eight points adrift of the top half.

Watford Championship form: WDDWDL

Rotherham United Championship form: LWLLDL


Team News

Andre Gray celebrates with teammates after scoring for Watford against Coventry City in the Championship on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Ivic switched to a 3-4-3 formation midway through the second half on Saturday, and may persist with this system given the chances they created.

This would mean that Joao Pedro could be shifted wide, if Andre Gray is not declared fit.

Will Hughes and Domingos Quina were positive when they came off the bench on Saturday and are pushing for starts.

Warne has no fresh injury concerns ahead of the game and could remain unchanged.

Long-term absentees Shaun MacDonald, Chiedozie Ogbene, Clark Robertson and Kieran Sadlier will yet again play no part.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Ngakia, Troost-Ekong, Cathcart, Femenia; Sarr, Garner, Chalobah, Quina; Pedro, Deeney

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Blackman; Harding, Wood, Ihiekwe; Olosunde, Lindsay, Wiles, Barlaser, Mattock; Ladapo, Smith


SM words green background

We say: Watford 2-0 Rotherham United

Rotherham will not be short of effort on Tuesday night, but they will need more than that if they are to trouble Watford. We expect the Hornets to come through comfortably, in the first meeting between these two sides since 2015.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs Rotherham

Watford
81.2%
Draw
13.3%
Rotherham United
5.5%
271
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Watford manager Vladimir Ivic pictured in November 2020
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14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
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