Akhmat Grozny

3 - 1

Rotor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.