Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tambov would win this match.