Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
